The Tell: Stocks have 5% more upside this year, according to this measure, which has been right since March

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Stock-market moves this year have faithfully tracked those after the 2008-2009 financial crisis, which means another 5% move higher, if the correlation continues

Stock-market moves this year have faithfully tracked those after the 2008-2009 financial crisis, which means another 5% move higher, if the correlation continues